The Memorial Tournament 2016, Nordea Masters Betting Tips
Written By Graeme on May 31, 2016
Betting Note: Betting amounts are based on confidence level. My normal betting amounts are $125, $250 & $500, although I will go as low as $62.50 and as high as $1,000 on occasion.
E/W (Each-Way) bets means you split that amount. So if it is a $250 E/W bet, that means $125 on them to win, $125 on them to place (Usually in the Top 5).
It was a solid, winning week in the golf last week although it was a rather interesting one.
The work I put in on the golf every week and the betting tips takes me awhile. Each tournament will usually take 1-2 hours and sometimes more depending on how invested I am. I’m crunching stats, running simulations, re-watching holes/tournaments and even reading certain players Twitter or news about them to see if there is a reason there to back them or not to back them.
But then there’s also your gut.
Last week, I tipped a bet on Jordan Spieth to win. His form has been – let’s say erratic – lately. There was no real reason to pick Jordan Spieth to win the D&D Invitational. I just had a really strong gut feeling about it.
End result?
A great performance from Jordan Spieth all round, and a nice winner winner chicken dinner.
The Memorial Tournament Betting Tips:
My first bet is another gut play, and I’m taking Jason Day to win however I am only betting half a unit. The Memorial Tournament takes place at the Muirfield Village Golf Club designed by Mr. Nicklaus, and it’s not a place where Jason Day has performed well at. In 7 performances he’s never once cracked the top 10. However he is in spectacular form at the moment and I just have a good feeling about him here. Due to his past struggles on this course though I’m only going for half a unit on him.
I’m also taking the in-form Matt Kuchar for half a unit, to win and E/W. The 2013 winner of this tournament by 2 strokes, Kuchar has performed well here in the past. Due to the big 3 playing his odds are very good, and Kuchar has had some extremely good performances as of late like 3rd at the Players Championship and Byron Nelson, and 6th at the D&D Invitational. I’ve got to go with Kuchar here at that price.
Finally, a half unit bet on Hideki Matsuyama to get a Top 10 Finish. This is almost the opposite of my gut play on Day and Spieth last week – my gut says Matsuyama will NOT do well here. But his stats all line up correctly here and he has performed well at this tournament before. I’m going with a half unit on a Top 10 finish for Matsuyama at 6/4 odds. I may also throw quarter unit bet on him to win simply because I’d be kicking myself if he did, and I didn’t bet it. The price isn’t as great as I had hoped through.
Nordea Masters Betting Tips:
What we all know as the Scandinavian Masters takes place this week. It’s quite an interesting and open field with Henrik Stenson leading the favourites at 13/2, followed by Lee Westwood and Alex Noren.
First of all I’ve got to jump on multiple time winner Alex Noren to win and E/W for half a unit. Not sure if he can repeat but he’s had some good form lately. Yeah he struggled a lot at the BMW PGA Championship on the last few days but he started well there. It wasn’t so long ago he racked up two top 10 finishes in a row at the China Open and Spanish Open, and I think he will be confident here. The price is enough for him knowing his ability to crack the Top 5 at this course.
I’ve also got my eye on Rikard Karlberg. Surprisingly the books do too – I thought he might be a higher price than 30/1. Based on that I’m going to take him for just a quarter unit to win and E/W. I’m also going to take the same bet on Fabrizio Zanotti who has performed well here at the past and is in some decent form at the moment.
Since 2014 I've been providing free golf tips on a weekly basis. Each tournament analysis, research and writing the betting tips takes
over 10 hours per tournament. That doesn’t include watching each tournament and taking notes etc. It's why I do less and less non-PGA tips these days.
I’ve delivered a lot of big winners over the years, and all I ask is if you appreciate the work I put in and so I can continue to keep the tips free, a donation is highly recommended and much appreciated.
While I obviously make enough money from my golf bets, this sort of financial support would motivate me to write more content on here. This would include golf prop bets like first round leader, head vs head and much more plus daily fantasy golf articles. Cheers!
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