American Express & Abu Dhabi 2021 Odds & Tips

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Written By Graeme on January 19, 2021  


Betting Note: Betting amounts are based on confidence level. My normal betting amounts are $125, $250 & $500, although I will go as low as $62.50 and as high as $1,000 on occasion. My most common bet is $125 and if you classify that as 1 unit, then I have made a 667.93 unit profit from 2014-2020. (full stats)

E/W (Each-Way) bets means you split that amount. So if it is a $250 E/W bet, that means $125 on them to win, $125 on them to place (Usually in the Top 5).

Welcome to this weeks golf tips. We’ve got the return of the European Tour this week which I’ll have a look at too.

Last week was a big “eh” week. Not meh, but eh. I had 4 picks, all of whom made the cut. The fact that two of them were 125/1 and 200/1? That felt pretty good. Alas none of them were able to get us a cash or even really come close unfortunately.

So a disappointing one overall although I’m slightly happy they made the cut at least. A good wee sign following the 1st & 2nd last week and hopefully that continues.

Let’s hop right into this week, look at the odds and then get into the tips. Quick note – no SBT Exclusive pick this week.

The American Express 2021 Top 10 Odds:

  1. Patrick Cantlay: 12/1
  2. Patrick Reed: 16/1
  3. Scottie Scheffler: 16/1
  4. Brooks Koepka: 18/1
  5. Tony Finau: 20/1
  6. Sung-Jae Im: 20/1
  7. Matthew Wolff: 22/1
  8. Abraham Ancer: 25/1
  9. Russell Henley: 28/1
  10. Kevin Na: 30/1

The American Express 2021 Betting Tips:

A change this year with no 3 courses and instead just 2 courses. I’m familiar enough of course with the TPC Stadium and Nicklaus Tournament Courses but definitely makes it a wee bit trickier. No pro-am aspect either. Stadium Course is what I primarily will focus on.

Koepka back. I didn’t think he’d be playing here so that will be interesting. I have to think he looks at this as more of a warm up type of course to get back into the swing of things. That actually might not be a bad thing if he goes in with no pressure.

$150 on Russell Henley to Win & E/W:

Not a strong performer at this tournament but looked in good form last week and his driving accuracy is nice and should be a factor here. Putting isn’t the biggest factor here but he has performed well enough on the Bermuda. His course form is certainly a concern though.

USA: +3300 at Bovada
Canada: 30/1 at Sports Interaction
Everywhere Else: 30/1 at BetOnline


$62.50 on John Huh To Win & E/W:

I can’t fully explain this one beyond the fact that he shows up on my system a bunch under the metrics I am running with. He did have a 3rd place a few years ago too which was enough to convince me to back him. Not expecting too much honestly but we’ll see how it goes.

USA: +11000 at BetOnline
Everywhere Else: 110/1 at BetOnline

And I hate to say it guys but that’s all I’ve got for this tournament. I was very close to backing Patton, Gooch and Straka. But even though I deem them good value bets it’s not enough for me to back them.


Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship 2021 Betting Odds:

  1. Rory McIlroy: 6/1
  2. Justin Thomas: 6/1
  3. Tyrrell Hatton: 12/1
  4. Tommy Fleetwood: 14/1
  5. Matthew Fitzpatrick: 14/1
  6. Justin Rose: 28/1
  7. Martin Kaymer: 28/1
  8. Christiaan Bez’hout: 33/1
  9. Victor Perez: 33/1
  10. Shane Lowry: 33/1

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship 2021 Betting Tips:

Course form can be a good indicator for this course. Rory is a strong favourite and with JT in there I mean both are unbettable. But I think it gives us good potential value on others.

$125 on Tommy Fleetwood To Win & E/W:

At the price, I think it’s a fairly easy bet. Multiple time winner, 2nd last year. I have mixed feelings about Tommy and his form post lockdown. He just couldn’t get in that rocking zone he often does. But I do feel the price is right and we’re getting enough value on him to warrant a bet.

USA: +1400 at Bovada
Everywhere Else:14/1 at Bet365


$62.50 on Scott Jamieson To Top 10:

Solid and consistent player. Some good performances here in recent years. Can’t see him winning but think there is a good chance he can make that top 10. value is good enough you could even do top 20 but I’ll go with the risk.

USA: +1100 at BetOnline
Everywhere Else:11/1 at Bet365


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