American Express & Abu Dhabi 2021 Odds & Tips
Written By Graeme on January 19, 2021
Betting Note: Betting amounts are based on confidence level. My normal betting amounts are $125, $250 & $500, although I will go as low as $62.50 and as high as $1,000 on occasion. My most common bet is $125 and if you classify that as 1 unit, then I have made a
667.93 unit profit from 2014-2020. (
full stats)
E/W (Each-Way) bets means you split that amount. So if it is a $250 E/W bet, that means $125 on them to win, $125 on them to place (Usually in the Top 5).
Welcome to this weeks golf tips. We’ve got the return of the European Tour this week which I’ll have a look at too.
Last week was a big “eh” week. Not meh, but eh. I had 4 picks, all of whom made the cut. The fact that two of them were 125/1 and 200/1? That felt pretty good. Alas none of them were able to get us a cash or even really come close unfortunately.
So a disappointing one overall although I’m slightly happy they made the cut at least. A good wee sign following the 1st & 2nd last week and hopefully that continues.
Let’s hop right into this week, look at the odds and then get into the tips. Quick note – no SBT Exclusive pick this week.
The American Express 2021 Top 10 Odds:
- Patrick Cantlay: 12/1
- Patrick Reed: 16/1
- Scottie Scheffler: 16/1
- Brooks Koepka: 18/1
- Tony Finau: 20/1
- Sung-Jae Im: 20/1
- Matthew Wolff: 22/1
- Abraham Ancer: 25/1
- Russell Henley: 28/1
- Kevin Na: 30/1
The American Express 2021 Betting Tips:
A change this year with no 3 courses and instead just 2 courses. I’m familiar enough of course with the TPC Stadium and Nicklaus Tournament Courses but definitely makes it a wee bit trickier. No pro-am aspect either. Stadium Course is what I primarily will focus on.
Koepka back. I didn’t think he’d be playing here so that will be interesting. I have to think he looks at this as more of a warm up type of course to get back into the swing of things. That actually might not be a bad thing if he goes in with no pressure.
$150 on Russell Henley to Win & E/W:
Not a strong performer at this tournament but looked in good form last week and his driving accuracy is nice and should be a factor here. Putting isn’t the biggest factor here but he has performed well enough on the Bermuda. His course form is certainly a concern though.
USA: +3300 at Bovada
Canada: 30/1 at Sports Interaction
Everywhere Else: 30/1 at BetOnline
$62.50 on John Huh To Win & E/W:
I can’t fully explain this one beyond the fact that he shows up on my system a bunch under the metrics I am running with. He did have a 3rd place a few years ago too which was enough to convince me to back him. Not expecting too much honestly but we’ll see how it goes.
USA: +11000 at BetOnline
Everywhere Else: 110/1 at BetOnline
And I hate to say it guys but that’s all I’ve got for this tournament. I was very close to backing Patton, Gooch and Straka. But even though I deem them good value bets it’s not enough for me to back them.
Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship 2021 Betting Odds:
- Rory McIlroy: 6/1
- Justin Thomas: 6/1
- Tyrrell Hatton: 12/1
- Tommy Fleetwood: 14/1
- Matthew Fitzpatrick: 14/1
- Justin Rose: 28/1
- Martin Kaymer: 28/1
- Christiaan Bez’hout: 33/1
- Victor Perez: 33/1
- Shane Lowry: 33/1
Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship 2021 Betting Tips:
Course form can be a good indicator for this course. Rory is a strong favourite and with JT in there I mean both are unbettable. But I think it gives us good potential value on others.
$125 on Tommy Fleetwood To Win & E/W:
At the price, I think it’s a fairly easy bet. Multiple time winner, 2nd last year. I have mixed feelings about Tommy and his form post lockdown. He just couldn’t get in that rocking zone he often does. But I do feel the price is right and we’re getting enough value on him to warrant a bet.
USA: +1400 at Bovada
Everywhere Else:14/1 at Bet365
$62.50 on Scott Jamieson To Top 10:
Solid and consistent player. Some good performances here in recent years. Can’t see him winning but think there is a good chance he can make that top 10. value is good enough you could even do top 20 but I’ll go with the risk.
USA: +1100 at BetOnline
Everywhere Else:11/1 at Bet365

Since 2014 I've been providing free golf tips on a weekly basis. Each tournament analysis, research and writing the betting tips takes
over 10 hours per tournament. That doesn’t include watching each tournament and taking notes etc. It's why I do less and less non-PGA tips these days.
I’ve delivered a lot of big winners over the years, and all I ask is if you appreciate the work I put in and so I can continue to keep the tips free, a donation is highly recommended and much appreciated.
While I obviously make enough money from my golf bets, this sort of financial support would motivate me to write more content on here. This would include golf prop bets like first round leader, head vs head and much more plus daily fantasy golf articles. Cheers!
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