Farmers Insurance Open, Dubai Desert 2021 Betting Tips

Subscribe to my free Golf Betting Tips - enter your e-mail address:
avatar
Written By Graeme on January 27, 2021  


Betting Note: Betting amounts are based on confidence level. My normal betting amounts are $125, $250 & $500, although I will go as low as $62.50 and as high as $1,000 on occasion. My most common bet is $125 and if you classify that as 1 unit, then I have made a 667.93 unit profit from 2014-2020. (full stats)

E/W (Each-Way) bets means you split that amount. So if it is a $250 E/W bet, that means $125 on them to win, $125 on them to place (Usually in the Top 5).

Welcome to this weeks golf betting tips and my apologies for the lateness today.

One of those days where my schedule got totally messed up. Not that most of you care but I had plans later this afternoon so I was all geared up to get the golf tips out nice and early.

Then the plans got canceled and as silly as it was it threw my day off. I just could not get into the zone now I had these “free hours” later in the day and welp – here I am now working away on the tips finally about 7 hours later than scheduled.

Nothing last week. Henley couldn’t make the cut in the American Express. My 110/1 pick Huh was able to make the cut and flirted with the Top 10 at times alas couldn’t crack it.

In the Abu Dhabi my main pick was Tommy Fleetwood and he was looking great until a very poor final round. Disappointing that one.

I went with a risky bet on Scott Jamieson to make the Top 10. Alas he came 16th. I did say that if you wanted to go with a less risky one you could back him Top 20. Unfortunately I did not. Hopefully some of you took the less riskier option than me and profited.

Despite the losses, generally happy with the picks especially the big underdogs performing yet again very well. Happy to see that and gives me confidence.

A tad tight for time this week so may not go into as much detail we will see. No SBT exclusives / social blocks this week.

Farmers Insurance Open 2021 Betting Tips:

Lot of potential contenders this week so I’m going to get the betting amount of the tournament at $500 and go from there.

Rory McIlroy – $125 on Top 5 Finish.

This course generally suits Rory very well and he has performed extremely well on it in the past. He looked great last week. He has that issue he often has where he just stumbles in the last round but it is what it is. It puts me off betting him to win but I do think he can contend and be in the Top 5.

I’d do more on Rory but even though he was able to do it last year – coming in from Dubai always makes me feel a wee bit conservative.

USA: +200 at BetOnline
Everywhere Else: 2/1 at BetOnline


Adam Scott – $125 to win & E/W.

I think this is a tournament Scott will target this week. Decent enough performances coming into this at the Sentry and Sony and the only time he played here he came 2nd. Looked good and able to handle it and I think he is geared up and ready to rock this one.

USA: +4000 at GT Bets
Everywhere Else:33/1 at Bet365


Francesco Molinari – $62.50 to win & E/W.

This is one of those picks that honestly isn’t mine. Using my own data, I wouldn’t come up with it. However I have seen a lot of people suggest this is a prime spot for Molinari and looking at their reasoning, I feel it is worth a small bet. Not too happy with the tail end of his performance at the American Express though.

USA: +10000 at BetOnline
Everywhere Else:100/1 at BetOnline


Marc Leishman – $62.50 to win & E/W.

How can we not at that price? That’s what dictated it for me. Great value. considering current form and course form. Surprised to see the price, happy to back it.

USA: +3500 at GT Bets
Everywhere Else:35/1 at Bet365


John Huh: $62.50 to win & E/W

I bet him last week due to the metrics I run and him popping up and he’s on there again this week. So hey let’s go for it. It would probably make sense to bet Top 10 or 20 with the value there. But I’ve had so many wins based purely due to system picks like this I am happy to ride it.

USA: +15000 at Bovada
Canada: 150/1 at Bodog
Everywhere Else:125/1 at Bet365


Ryan Palmer: $62.50 on Top 10 Finish

This is one I went back and forth on for my final pick. Has been playing well. Plays well here too in the recent 3 outings here. Don’t think he wins but think he does enough to compete strongly. The odds of top 20 finish weren’t worth it for me.

USA: +500 at BetOnline
Everywhere Else: 5/1 at Bet365

Dubai Desert Classic 2021 Betting Tips:

Taking $250 here and splitting it over the following. All 4 to win & E/W. $62.50 per pop. BTW I’d say this is Hattons to lose. Excellent pick but I just don’t think the value is quite there on him to win.

– Danny Willett

USA: +5000 at GT Bets
Everywhere Else: 50/1 at Bet365

– Stephen Gallacher

USA: +25000 at Bovada
Canada: 250/1 at Bodog
Everywhere Else: 150/ at Bet365

– David Lipsky

USA: +7000 at BetOnline
Everywhere Else: 75/1 at Bet365

– Jason Scrivener

USA: +7500 at BetOnline
Everywhere Else:75/1 at BetOnline


Since 2014 I've been providing free golf tips on a weekly basis. Each tournament analysis, research and writing the betting tips takes over 10 hours per tournament. That doesn’t include watching each tournament and taking notes etc. It's why I do less and less non-PGA tips these days.

I’ve delivered a lot of big winners over the years, and all I ask is if you appreciate the work I put in and so I can continue to keep the tips free, a donation is highly recommended and much appreciated.

While I obviously make enough money from my golf bets, this sort of financial support would motivate me to write more content on here. This would include golf prop bets like first round leader, head vs head and much more plus daily fantasy golf articles. Cheers!