Texas Open & Trophee Hassan II 2018 Betting Tips
Written By Graeme on April 18, 2018
Betting Note: Betting amounts are based on confidence level. My normal betting amounts are $125, $250 & $500, although I will go as low as $62.50 and as high as $1,000 on occasion.
E/W (Each-Way) bets means you split that amount. So if it is a $250 E/W bet, that means $125 on them to win, $125 on them to place (Usually in the Top 5).
The RBC Heritage was a good tournament to watch last week, and it came down to a playoff. Feel bad for anyone on Si Woo Kim but it was an excellent performance by Kodaira who had that exceptional round 2 and he got the big win.
I said last week the Open De Espana was Rahms to lose and he won it as expected. Honestly I really wish I could have tipped him in a big way but I just think backing anyone in golf at 4/1 odds is just plain silly and a 1/4 casual play was the best I could do. Even though it won it was still -EV. As it is he was consistent throughout but really Paul Dunne ad Nacho Elvira were right there with him and just couldn’t keep it going on that final day.
We turn our attention to this week with a lot of great golf action. We’ve got the Texas Open and the Trophee Hassan II. The LPGA has the Hugel JTBC LA Open and the Champions Tour has the Legends of Golf. I won’t be tipping that one but I do find it enjoyable to watch.
Let’s get to it:
Valero Texas Open Betting Tips:
Always a tricky course and it benefits the power hitters.
Ryan Palmer: Palmer isn’t in the best of form at the moment but he’s someone who can step out of nowhere. For example his performance out of nowhere at the Barracuda last year. He tends to do well on this course and I’m backing him 1/4 unit to win & E/W. It’d be a 1/2 unit except while he can step it up out of nowhere he does tend to need a good little run of form to really break the top spots.
Luke List: In some solid form at the moment. He’s never really stepped it up on this course like he really should, but I think he’s a strong possibility here. He suits up for this course well and I’m fine with 1/4 unit to win & E/W on him.
Jason Korak: Honestly there’s nothing to suggest he will do good here. One 2nd place performance years ago. He’s on a bad run at the moment. However when I crunch the numbers, he keeps coming up and at 80/1 he’s gotta be worth a play. 1/4 unit to win & E/W.
Tropee Hassan II Betting Tips:
This one is back at the Royal Golf Dar Es Salam. In terms of course history it hosted 3 of the rounds in 2010 and then the entire tournament the last two years. Another tough coruse.
Renato Paratore: Two solid top 10 finishes the last two years. I’m good to bet him at 1/4 unit to win & E/W as he’s coming in off the back of a decent performance.
Paul Dunne: It’s very possible after last weeks struggle down the stretch, Dunne completely collapses here. He knows he could have won that tournament. Despite that his odds are great considering his skill and his performances here. I’ll advise caution and bet just 1/4 unit to win.
Nacho Elvira: A strong performance last week and 2nd here back in 2016. I’m good with 1/4 unit to win & E/W.
That’s all I’m on this week.
Since 2014 I've been providing free golf tips on a weekly basis. Each tournament analysis, research and writing the betting tips takes
over 10 hours per tournament. That doesn’t include watching each tournament and taking notes etc. It's why I do less and less non-PGA tips these days.
I’ve delivered a lot of big winners over the years, and all I ask is if you appreciate the work I put in and so I can continue to keep the tips free, a donation is highly recommended and much appreciated.
While I obviously make enough money from my golf bets, this sort of financial support would motivate me to write more content on here. This would include golf prop bets like first round leader, head vs head and much more plus daily fantasy golf articles. Cheers!
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