Tour Championship 2018 Betting Tips, Portugal Masters
Written By Graeme on September 18, 2018
Betting Note: Betting amounts are based on confidence level. My normal betting amounts are $125, $250 & $500, although I will go as low as $62.50 and as high as $1,000 on occasion.
E/W (Each-Way) bets means you split that amount. So if it is a $250 E/W bet, that means $125 on them to win, $125 on them to place (Usually in the Top 5).
We got a cash last week in the LPGA Evian Championship with Sei Young Kim. Alas she couldn’t win and ended up tied for 2nd. Pity as she went into the back 9 leading as well.
She hit a double bogey on 10 that clearly messed up her play and added two more bogeys later in the card which messed it up for her. Despite all that she was only behind by one shot.
All three of our girls in the LPGA were contenders with Lydia Ko tenth and Georgia Hall 16th after a poor +3 final day.
Here’s the betting slip for that one:
This week we have The Tour Championship. This event features 30 golfers with both Justin Rose and Rory McIlroy slight favourites above Dustin Johnson. It’s actually incredibly tight at the top and also bizarre as all hell not seeing the name of Jordan Spieth on here.
Let’s get to it and it’s beside a social block this week – sorry!
Tour Championship 2018 Betting Tips:
Justin Rose: 8/1 Odds Here
Yeah quite the imaginative pick huh? I mean you run the metrics that suit this course – scrambling, GIR, putts in GIR etc and Rose is always at the top of them. I just can’t ignore it and with two second places in a row, he’s coming into form.
The odds of course aren’t great at all but that’s to be expected with this sort of field. 1u to win. I am going with the full unit simply because I am not wagering on any of the other top contenders. If I liked Rory or DJ I’d split the unit.
Bryson DeChambeau: 18/1
When I run the same metrics DeChambeau really isn’t anywhere. I have him outside of my top 10 golfers for this course. But I’ve got to go to him. His performance at TPC Boston in the Dell Technologies Championship is a good indicator based on past results, plus his performances overall. He has the nerve and his performance at the BMW was pretty darn solid all things considered. 1/4u to win & E/W on Bryson.
Webb Simpson: 28/1
Webb has performed well here in the past and is coming in here in good form. He’s had a lot of good results and Top 5s this season and I think he can be a contender at the top this weekend. Let’s go with 1/4u to win & E/W.
Paul Casey: 40/1
Not in good form but past performances have been solid here with 3 top 5s in the last 3 years. One big concern is that in those 3 great performances he came in on good form and he isn’t here. So just 1/8u to win & E/W.
Portugal Masters 2018 Betting Tips:
Spent most of my time on the Tour Championship this week so just a few mathematical picks all 1/4u to win & E/W:
Robert Rock: 60/1
Andy Sullivan: 20/1
Jorge Campillo: 55/1
Ashun Wu: 45/1
Since 2014 I've been providing free golf tips on a weekly basis. Each tournament analysis, research and writing the betting tips takes
over 10 hours per tournament. That doesn’t include watching each tournament and taking notes etc. It's why I do less and less non-PGA tips these days.
I’ve delivered a lot of big winners over the years, and all I ask is if you appreciate the work I put in and so I can continue to keep the tips free, a donation is highly recommended and much appreciated.
While I obviously make enough money from my golf bets, this sort of financial support would motivate me to write more content on here. This would include golf prop bets like first round leader, head vs head and much more plus daily fantasy golf articles. Cheers!
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